عنوان انگلیسی مقاله:

Predictive model of strategic development of a university

ترجمه عنوان مقاله: مدل پیش بینی توسعه استراتژیک دانشگاه

رشته: مدیریت استراتژیک

سال انتشار: 2014

تعداد صفحات مقاله انگلیسی: 9 صفحه

منبع: الزویر و ساینس دایرکت

نوع فایل: pdf

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چکیده مقاله

Abstract Predictive model of strategic development of a university

The paper presents an economic and mathematical model designed to forecast development of a university depending on social and economic changes in the country and the amount of public funding of education. The university’s internal decisions how to distribute its budget among operational activities, development, supporting science, and improving educational services are assumed as endogenous variables. The development of the university is viewed as a phase space trajectory defined by the four characteristics: quality of educational services, level of development of R&D and consulting activities, image and financial performance of university.

The choice of parameters meets the major interests of the most important stakeholders: state and society, business and science, labo ur market, prospective students, and the university staff. The model describes relationships between: а) funds obtaining and spending, b) results of university development along various axes and the investments, c) finance obtained and the results of university development, d) results of the university development in adjacent time intervals.

Keywords: strategic development, university, economic and mathematical model, prognosis, Balance Scorecard System, recursive relations, quality of education, scientific activity of a university, financial situation of a university, image of a university

مقدمه مقاله

Identifying and describing the major problems universities face became a matter of concern in the period of adaptation of the Russian system of higher education to market conditions. Such problems included lack of public funding, low standard of living, decreasing prestige of higher education, and obsolescence of infrastructure and facilities at universities; moreover, highly qualified staff left universities to work abroad or in business.

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