عنوان انگلیسی مقاله:

Avoiding climate change uncertainties in Strategic Environmental Assessment

ترجمه عنوان مقاله: جلوگیری از عدم قطعیت­ های تغییر اقلیم در ارزیابی محیطی استراتژیک

رشته: اقلیم شناسی

سال انتشار: 2013

تعداد صفحات مقاله انگلیسی: 7 صفحه

منبع: الزویرو ساینس دایرکت

نوع فایل: pdf

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چکیده مقاله

This article is concerned with how Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA) practice handles climate change uncertaintieswithin the Danish planning system. First, a hypothetical model is set up for how uncertainty is handled and not handled in decision making. The model incorporates the strategies ‘reduction’ and ‘resilience’, ‘denying’, ‘ignoring’ and ‘postponing’. Second, 151 Danish SEAs are analysed with a focus on the extent to which climate change uncertainties are acknowledged and presented, and the empirical findings are discussed in relation to the model. The findings indicate that despite incentives to do so, climate change uncertainties were systematically avoided or downplayed in all but 5 of the 151 SEAs that were reviewed. Finally, two possible explanatory mechanisms are proposed to explain this: conflict avoidance and a need to quantify uncertainty.

Keywords: Climate change, Uncertainty, Decision making, Strategic Environmental Assessment

مدل مقاله

مدل استراتژی های مواجهه یا عدم مواجهه با عدم قطعیت در تغییرات آب و هوایی در دریا

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منبع: ( Larsen and all: 146 )

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